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Wednesday, 14 July 2010

Should I Cruise during Hurricane Season?

I don't care about hurricane season!
I know that this sounds like a bold statement to make, hurricanes ruin many thousands of lives each year, as well as holidays but when booking on a cruise ship there really isn't anything to worry about.

I’ll explain why in a minute; first of all, talking about hurricane season in general you can practically guarantee that each year that some "expert" group will issue their prediction for the season, and no matter what it is, "highly active" or "quiet," the news media gets all excited and jumps all over it. These predictions are really of no value, other than giving the news media something to use to boost readership or viewership and try to whip the public into a frenzy.
I say these long term predictions are next to useless for several reasons.
They’re never accurate! If you go back over the old predictions from these groups they’re almost never right.
They don't predict where they will go. The area they cover is vast, covering the entire Caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico and the far western Atlantic ocean all the way up the eastern coast of the US and Canada. What happens in one place has no affect on a location a couple hundred miles away, so saying there might be eight named storms this year is so generalized, it's meaningless.
It doesn’t make any difference anyway how many storms there will be. You can't prepare for your holidays any differently. You just have to be prepared each year to watch storms as they form, and then take appropriate action if the current one heads toward you.
To my regular readers and the cruise world in general these predictions are even more useless. Cruise lines monitor the storms from the moment they form, and move their ships out of the way. They don't want their half-billion-dollar assets anywhere near harms way. Now that may mean your cruise will not follow the exact itinerary as you planned (or it could even be completely changed), but it does almost guarantee that your vacation will happen - as opposed to a land-based vacation that happens to be in the projected path of the storm. Occasionally, very occasionally, it does affect your port of embarkation (or disembarkation) on turnaround day, and that does create some turmoil, but generally, it means things operate a day late, and the cruise lines will assist in some way to getting you there at the proper time.
So what does all this mean? Well to start with it means you can stop moaning at me for recommending Caribbean cruises during hurricane season, it doesn’t matter. It also means that you should feel free to book the cruise you want, when you want. Ships all have steering wheels, if the Captains sees a problem coming on the horizon, he can just sail off in a different direction.

Happy cruising

1 comment:

  1. Well that's good to know as I hadn't thought about it.

    ReplyDelete